2016 - Week 13

Expected CFP Rank Actual CFP Rank Team Conference Record AP Coaches FPI Game Control Strength of Record Strength Of Schedule CFP (Previous Week) Preseason AP Avg FPI Losses Median Conf FPI FPI 1w Δ Program Prestige
1 1 Alabama SEC 12-0 1 1 1 1 1 4 1 1 -- 9.3 0.5 10.0
2 2 Ohio State Big Ten 11-1 2 2 2 5 2 5 2 6 9.1 7.2 0.3 10.0
3 3 Clemson ACC 11-1 3 3 4 2 3 33 4 2 9.6 10.1 1.0 7.8
4 4 Washington Pac-12 11-1 4 4 5 3 5 18 5 14 17.1 9.5 1.8 7.2
5 5 Michigan Big Ten 10-2 5 6 3 4 8 12 3 7 17.9 7.2 0.4 9.9
6 6 Wisconsin Big Ten 10-2 6 5 12 9 4 9 6 -- 26.1 7.2 0.2 6.9
7 9 Oklahoma Big 12 9-2 7 7 8 10 9 28 8 3 14.2 8.6 0.1 10.0
8 7 Penn State Big Ten 10-2 8 8 14 36 7 20 7 -- 16.6 7.2 1.4 9.2
9 8 Colorado Pac-12 10-2 9 9 13 8 6 8 9 -- 18.4 9.5 -0.5 5.2
10 11 Southern California Pac-12 9-3 10 11 10 6 10 1 12 -- 14.8 9.5 0.2 10.0
11 10 Oklahoma State Big 12 9-2 11 10 17 25 15 60 10 21 8.2 8.6 0.0 5.6
12 12 Florida State ACC 9-3 12 12 8 16 12 16 14 4 20.4 10.1 0.5 8.9
13 16 West Virginia Big 12 9-2 14 13 20 24 13 39 18 -- 17 8.6 1.6 4.8
14 13 Louisville ACC 9-3 16 15 6 17 24 51 11 19 11.1 10.1 -1.7 4.9
15 15 Florida SEC 8-3 15 16 23 18 16 36 15 25 16.7 9.3 -1.0 9.0
16 14 Auburn SEC 8-4 18 19 11 11 17 19 13 -- 20.2 9.3 -0.1 8.0
17 18 Stanford Pac-12 9-3 17 17 21 19 14 3 24 8 15 9.5 -0.7 7.3
18 17 Western Michigan MAC 12-0 13 14 23 15 11 100 21 -- -- -9.2 0.5 1.0
19 23 Virginia Tech ACC 9-3 19 18 26 30 20 52 -- -- 7.6 10.1 1.4 6.0
20 NR Nebraska Big Ten 9-3 23 22 40 44 19 32 16 -- 16.9 7.2 -1.6 9.5
21 21 Louisiana State SEC 7-4 21 21 7 7 18 2 -- -- 17.3 9.3 0.7 9.3
22 19 Navy American 9-2 20 20 45 51 25 66 25 -- 5.2 3.2 1.6 4.4
23 22 Tennessee SEC 8-4 -- -- 19 53 31 30 17 9 13.5 9.3 -0.9 8.1
24 NR Boise State MW 10-2 -- -- 30 12 29 68 19 -- -2.6 -4.2 -1.0 5.3
25 25 Pittsburgh ACC 8-4 24 -- 25 14 22 29 -- -- 14.2 10.1 -0.2 6.2

Results:

CFPMachine AP Poll
MAE 1.74 2.11
RMSE 2.92 3.44
MAE (Top 10) 0.50 0.50
RMSE (Top 10) 0.84 0.84

2016 - Week 12

Expected CFP Rank Actual CFP Rank Team Conference Record AP Coaches FPI Game Control Strength of Record Strength Of Schedule CFP (Previous Week) Preseason AP Avg FPI Losses Median Conf FPI FPI 1w Δ Program Prestige
1 1 Alabama SEC 11-0 1 1 1 1 1 6 1 1 -- 10.8 -1.7 10.0
2 2 Ohio State Big Ten 10-1 2 2 2 3 3 10 2 6 9.1 6.9 -0.6 10.0
3 4 Clemson ACC 10-1 4 3 4 2 2 30 4 2 9.6 8.8 0.0 7.8
4 3 Michigan Big Ten 10-1 3 4 3 4 6 21 3 7 8.1 6.9 -1.1 9.9
5 6 Wisconsin Big Ten 9-2 5 6 13 7 4 11 7 -- 26.1 6.9 0.3 6.9
6 5 Washington Pac-12 10-1 6 5 6 5 7 24 6 14 17.1 10.6 0.5 7.2
7 8 Oklahoma Big 12 9-2 7 7 8 9 9 25 9 3 14.2 9.5 1.8 10.0
8 7 Penn State Big Ten 9-2 8 8 16 41 8 18 8 -- 16.6 6.9 1.3 9.2
9 9 Colorado Pac-12 9-2 9 9 12 8 5 8 10 -- 18.4 10.6 1.0 5.2
10 10 Oklahoma State Big 12 9-2 10 10 16 25 18 58 11 21 8.2 9.5 1.7 5.6
11 12 Southern California Pac-12 8-3 12 12 11 6 10 1 13 -- 14.8 10.6 1.2 10.0
12 11 Louisville ACC 9-2 11 11 5 12 15 51 5 19 16.2 8.8 -2.7 4.9
13 15 Florida SEC 8-2 13 13 22 15 17 53 23 25 15.3 10.8 1.2 9.0
14 14 Florida State ACC 8-3 15 14 9 21 13 17 17 4 20.4 8.8 0.5 8.9
15 16 Nebraska Big Ten 9-2 17 15 37 38 16 31 18 -- 20.1 6.9 0.6 9.5
16 13 Auburn SEC 8-3 16 16 10 13 21 33 15 -- 17 10.8 -0.6 8.0
17 18 West Virginia Big 12 8-2 19 17 26 27 14 36 14 -- 17 9.5 -1.7 4.8
18 19 Boise State MW 10-1 20 19 27 10 19 67 20 -- -4.4 -5.0 0.0 5.3
19 17 Tennessee SEC 8-3 24 24 18 58 24 28 19 9 16.4 10.8 0.4 8.1
20 22 Utah Pac-12 8-3 21 20 33 36 28 19 12 -- 11.7 10.6 -0.7 4.9
21 21 Western Michigan MAC 11-0 14 18 24 19 11 109 21 -- -- -9.4 -0.2 1.0
22 24 Stanford Pac-12 8-3 -- -- 21 23 12 2 24 8 15 10.6 0.8 7.3
23 NR Texas A&M SEC 8-3 22 22 14 14 20 29 25 -- 17.1 10.8 -1.5 7.4
24 20 Houston American 9-2 18 21 29 31 23 73 -- 15 -3.8 3.5 1.7 3.2
25 NR North Carolina ACC 8-3 -- 25 20 18 26 37 -- 22 11 8.8 0.4 4.2

Results:

CFPMachine AP Poll
MAE 1.63 1.63
RMSE 2.31 2.74
MAE (Top 10) 0.60 0.40
RMSE (Top 10) 0.77 0.63

2016 - Week 11

Expected CFP Rank Actual CFP Rank Team Conference Record AP Coaches FPI Game Control Strength of Record Strength Of Schedule CFP (Previous Week) Preseason AP Avg FPI Losses Median Conf FPI FPI 1w Δ Program Prestige
1 1 Alabama SEC 10-0 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 -- 11.1 1.3 10.0
2 2 Ohio State Big Ten 9-1 2 2 3 2 3 13 5 6 9.1 6.7 1.8 10.0
3 4 Clemson ACC 9-1 5 5 5 3 2 24 2 2 9.6 8.8 -1.3 7.8
4 5 Louisville ACC 9-1 3 3 4 10 5 40 6 19 23 8.8 0.1 4.9
5 3 Michigan Big Ten 9-1 4 4 2 4 7 21 3 7 8.1 6.7 -1.6 9.9
6 7 Wisconsin Big Ten 8-2 6 6 13 7 4 6 7 -- 26.1 6.7 1.8 6.9
7 6 Washington Pac-12 9-1 7 7 7 5 9 28 4 14 17.1 11.5 -1.7 7.2
8 9 Oklahoma Big 12 8-2 8 8 10 12 13 34 11 3 14.2 9.9 1.1 10.0
9 14 West Virginia Big 12 8-1 10 9 20 16 6 48 16 -- 14.4 9.9 0.3 4.8
10 8 Penn State Big Ten 8-2 9 10 21 44 11 16 10 -- 16.6 6.7 0.1 9.2
11 10 Colorado Pac-12 8-2 12 12 15 9 8 14 12 -- 18.4 11.5 0.6 5.2
12 12 Utah Pac-12 8-2 11 11 29 35 16 23 15 -- 15.5 11.5 1.5 4.9
13 11 Oklahoma State Big 12 8-2 13 13 22 30 25 60 13 21 8.2 9.9 -0.5 5.6
14 17 Florida State ACC 7-3 17 15 9 24 12 8 18 4 20.4 8.8 0.9 8.9
15 18 Nebraska Big Ten 8-2 19 17 40 43 17 31 19 -- 20.1 6.7 0.0 9.5
16 13 Southern California Pac-12 7-3 15 19 11 6 14 1 20 -- 14.8 11.5 1.7 10.0
17 15 Auburn SEC 7-3 18 16 8 13 19 15 9 -- 17 11.1 -1.5 8.0
18 25 Texas A&M SEC 7-3 23 22 12 14 18 19 8 -- 17.1 11.1 -0.7 7.4
19 21 Western Michigan MAC 10-0 14 21 25 19 10 101 21 -- -- -9.0 -0.4 1.0
20 16 Louisiana State SEC 6-3 16 14 6 8 21 4 24 -- 18.5 11.1 1.6 9.3
21 22 Washington State Pac-12 8-2 20 20 14 20 23 29 23 -- 0.8 11.5 1.5 4.6
22 23 Florida SEC 7-2 21 18 24 18 28 62 -- 25 15.3 11.1 -0.3 9.0
23 20 Boise State MW 9-1 22 23 26 11 20 63 22 -- -4.4 -4.8 1.5 5.3
24 NR Virginia Tech ACC 7-3 -- -- 31 28 31 45 14 -- 7.6 8.8 -1.7 6.0
25 NR North Carolina ACC 7-3 -- 24 19 22 27 32 17 22 11 8.8 -1.0 4.2

Results:

CFPMachine AP Poll
MAE 2.48 2.22
RMSE 3.24 3.20
MAE (Top 10) 1.00 1.00
RMSE (Top 10) 1.18 1.18

2016 - Week 10

Expected CFP Rank Actual CFP Rank Team Conference Record AP Coaches FPI Game Control Strength of Record Strength Of Schedule
1 1 Alabama SEC 9-0 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 2 Clemson ACC 9-0 3 2 5 3 2 22
3 3 Michigan Big Ten 9-0 2 3 2 4 3 24
4 4 Washington Pac-12 9-0 4 4 6 2 4 29
5 5 Ohio State Big Ten 8-1 6 5 4 5 5 11
6 6 Louisville ACC 8-1 5 6 3 6 7 37
7 7 Wisconsin Big Ten 7-2 7 7 14 7 6 2
8 9 Auburn SEC 7-2 8 8 7 11 9 9
9 8 Texas A&M SEC 7-2 10 11 10 15 8 17
10 11 Oklahoma Big 12 7-2 9 9 11 17 17 32
11 16 West Virginia Big 12 7-1 11 10 21 20 13 53
12 10 Penn State Big Ten 7-2 12 14 20 40 14 16
13 12 Colorado Pac-12 7-2 16 15 13 8 10 12
14 15 Utah Pac-12 7-2 13 12 35 31 18 25
15 17 North Carolina ACC 7-2 15 13 16 19 16 30
16 21 Western Michigan MAC 9-0 14 21 23 12 12 99
17 24 Louisiana State SEC 5-3 19 19 8 10 25 5
18 13 Oklahoma State Big 12 7-2 17 17 19 38 27 63
19 18 Florida State ACC 6-3 20 18 9 25 11 8
20 19 Nebraska Big Ten 7-2 21 20 37 41 21 28
21 14 Virginia Tech ACC 7-2 18 22 25 16 20 44
22 NR Florida SEC 6-2 22 16 23 21 28 57
23 23 Washington State Pac-12 7-2 23 23 14 26 24 27
24 22 Boise State MW 8-1 24 24 30 13 22 58
25 20 Southern California Pac-12 6-3 -- -- 12 9 26 4

Results:

CFPMachine AP Poll
MAE 2.19 2.65
RMSE 3.31 3.45
MAE (Top 10) 0.40 0.90
RMSE (Top 10) 0.77 1.14

2016 - Week 9

Expected CFP Rank Actual CFP Rank Team Conference Record AP Coaches FPI Game Control Strength of Record Strength Of Schedule
1 1 Alabama SEC 8-0 1 1 1 1 2 6
2 2 Clemson ACC 8-0 3 3 4 3 1 13
3 3 Michigan Big Ten 8-0 2 2 2 4 4 25
4 5 Washington Pac-12 8-0 4 4 7 2 5 39
5 7 Louisville ACC 7-1 5 5 3 6 8 33
6 6 Ohio State Big Ten 7-1 6 6 5 5 6 12
7 4 Texas A&M SEC 7-1 7 7 9 9 3 10
8 8 Wisconsin Big Ten 6-2 8 8 16 8 7 3
9 9 Auburn SEC 6-2 11 12 6 11 9 8
10 11 Florida SEC 6-1 10 9 15 15 20 61
11 10 Nebraska Big Ten 7-1 9 10 28 35 16 50
12 20 West Virginia Big 12 6-1 14 15 20 22 11 36
13 23 Western Michigan MAC 8-0 17 18 23 14 10 92
14 14 Oklahoma Big 12 6-2 12 11 11 20 21 32
15 21 North Carolina ACC 6-2 18 17 21 21 14 28
16 15 Colorado Pac-12 6-2 21 20 13 7 12 15
17 13 Louisiana State SEC 5-2 15 14 8 12 23 11
18 16 Utah Pac-12 7-2 16 16 36 32 17 27
19 12 Penn State Big Ten 6-2 20 23 23 51 13 16
20 22 Florida State ACC 5-3 19 19 10 23 15 7
21 17 Baylor Big 12 6-1 13 13 18 40 26 88
22 24 Boise State MW 7-1 24 24 31 16 25 58
23 19 Virginia Tech ACC 6-2 23 21 23 17 22 31
24 18 Oklahoma State Big 12 6-2 22 22 17 26 29 60
25 25 Washington State Pac-12 6-2 25 25 22 29 27 23

Results:

CFPMachine AP Poll
MAE 2.56 2.40
RMSE 3.81 3.27
MAE (Top 10) 0.70 1.10
RMSE (Top 10) 1.22 1.45

2016 - Week 8

Expected CFP Rank Team Conference Record AP Coaches FPI Game Control Strength of Record Strength Of Schedule
1 Alabama SEC 8-0 1 1 1 1 1 6
2 Clemson ACC 7-0 3 3 4 4 2 20
3 Michigan Big Ten 7-0 2 2 2 5 4 23
4 Washington Pac-12 7-0 4 4 6 2 9 54
5 Louisville ACC 6-1 5 5 3 3 8 25
6 Texas A&M SEC 6-1 9 10 9 9 3 7
7 Ohio State Big Ten 6-1 6 8 4 6 6 17
8 West Virginia Big 12 6-0 10 9 15 18 5 37
9 Wisconsin Big Ten 5-2 11 11 15 7 10 5
10 Nebraska Big Ten 7-0 7 6 26 34 13 63
11 Boise State MW 7-0 13 13 28 10 7 52
12 Baylor Big 12 6-0 8 6 19 36 16 103
13 Florida State ACC 5-2 12 14 10 21 11 8
14 Florida SEC 5-1 14 12 17 15 25 64
15 Colorado Pac-12 6-2 23 23 13 8 17 16
16 Western Michigan MAC 8-0 20 21 24 13 14 86
17 Tennessee SEC 5-2 18 18 18 61 12 3
18 Oklahoma Big 12 5-2 16 15 12 19 22 18
19 Utah Pac-12 7-1 17 16 37 31 15 32
20 Auburn SEC 5-2 15 17 7 12 20 10
21 Louisiana State SEC 5-2 19 19 7 11 23 13
22 North Carolina ACC 6-2 21 20 21 22 18 24
23 Virginia Tech ACC 5-2 25 25 25 20 29 41
24 Penn State Big Ten 5-2 24 -- 32 48 19 12
25 Pittsburgh ACC 5-2 -- -- 30 17 27 47

2016 - Week 7

Expected CFP Rank Team Conference Record AP Coaches FPI Game Control Strength of Record Strength Of Schedule
1 Alabama SEC 7-0 1 1 1 1 1 7
2 Ohio State Big Ten 6-0 2 2 3 6 4 16
3 Clemson ACC 7-0 4 3 5 3 2 14
4 Michigan Big Ten 6-0 3 4 2 5 5 30
5 Washington Pac-12 6-0 5 5 6 2 8 46
6 Texas A&M SEC 6-0 6 6 7 8 3 13
7 Louisville ACC 5-1 7 7 4 4 9 22
8 Nebraska Big Ten 6-0 8 9 27 35 12 59
9 West Virginia Big 12 5-0 12 13 20 24 6 37
10 Florida State ACC 5-2 13 15 9 19 7 6
11 Wisconsin Big Ten 4-2 10 10 16 7 17 4
12 Baylor Big 12 6-0 9 8 19 42 16 105
13 Boise State MW 6-0 14 14 30 9 13 72
14 Florida SEC 5-1 15 12 17 13 25 70
15 Houston American 6-1 11 11 23 21 23 65
16 Western Michigan MAC 7-0 20 20 21 12 11 79
17 Tennessee SEC 5-2 18 19 17 66 10 3
18 Arkansas SEC 5-2 17 17 33 27 14 12
19 Oklahoma Big 12 4-2 16 16 11 20 21 10
20 Utah Pac-12 6-1 19 18 41 45 20 45
21 Auburn SEC 4-2 21 24 10 17 19 8
22 North Carolina ACC 5-2 22 21 25 26 18 15
23 Colorado Pac-12 5-2 -- -- 15 10 22 29
24 Stanford Pac-12 4-2 -- -- 28 38 15 1
25 Mississippi SEC 3-3 23 22 12 11 38 2

2016 - Week 6

Expected CFP Rank Team Conference Record AP Coaches FPI Game Control Strength of Record Strength Of Schedule
1 Clemson ACC 6-0 3 3 3 1 1 15
2 Ohio State Big Ten 5-0 2 2 4 4 4 29
3 Alabama SEC 6-0 1 1 2 5 3 9
4 Michigan Big Ten 6-0 4 4 1 7 5 35
5 Washington Pac-12 6-0 5 5 6 2 8 41
6 Texas A&M SEC 6-0 6 6 7 10 2 13
7 Louisville ACC 4-1 7 7 4 3 10 20
8 Wisconsin Big Ten 4-1 8 10 15 11 7 11
9 Tennessee SEC 5-1 9 11 12 58 6 8
10 Boise State MW 5-0 15 15 18 8 12 60
11 Nebraska Big Ten 5-0 10 9 25 43 15 70
12 Miami (FL) ACC 4-1 16 17 14 9 22 59
13 Florida State ACC 4-2 14 16 8 21 9 2
14 West Virginia Big 12 4-0 20 18 30 33 11 38
15 Baylor Big 12 5-0 11 8 20 51 14 100
16 Virginia Tech ACC 4-1 17 19 28 13 20 34
17 Houston American 5-1 13 12 16 24 27 54
18 Mississippi SEC 3-2 12 13 11 6 26 3
19 Florida SEC 4-1 18 14 17 17 29 64
20 Arizona State Pac-12 5-1 -- 24 47 75 16 NA
21 Utah Pac-12 5-1 21 21 40 48 21 42
22 Western Michigan MAC 6-0 24 23 29 18 13 90
23 Oklahoma Big 12 3-2 19 20 13 25 24 5
24 Auburn SEC 4-2 23 -- 10 16 17 6
25 Navy American 4-1 25 -- 65 53 36 57

2016 - Week 5

Expected CFP Rank Team Conference Record AP Coaches FPI Game Control Strength of Record Strength Of Schedule
1 Alabama SEC 5-0 1 1 3 7 3 10
2 Clemson ACC 5-0 3 3 5 3 1 13
3 Ohio State Big Ten 4-0 2 2 1 1 5 19
4 Michigan Big Ten 5-0 4 4 4 9 6 35
5 Washington Pac-12 5-0 5 6 8 4 10 47
6 Texas A&M SEC 5-0 8 7 6 14 2 18
7 Houston American 5-0 6 5 15 13 7 54
8 Louisville ACC 4-1 7 8 2 2 11 15
9 Tennessee SEC 5-0 9 9 12 60 4 14
10 Wisconsin Big Ten 4-1 11 13 18 15 8 8
11 Miami (FL) ACC 4-0 10 10 14 6 18 98
12 Nebraska Big Ten 5-0 12 12 22 45 15 64
13 Stanford Pac-12 3-1 15 15 20 24 9 4
14 North Carolina ACC 4-1 17 16 16 29 16 16
15 West Virginia Big 12 4-0 22 20 32 41 12 46
16 Baylor Big 12 5-0 13 11 23 57 14 97
17 Boise State MW 4-0 19 19 30 10 19 66
18 Florida SEC 4-1 18 18 21 18 29 62
19 Mississippi SEC 3-2 14 14 10 5 30 5
20 Arkansas SEC 4-1 16 17 36 23 20 38
21 Colorado Pac-12 4-1 21 23 26 8 21 56
22 Western Michigan MAC 5-0 -- 25 23 16 13 72
23 Utah Pac-12 4-1 24 24 44 52 24 34
24 Florida State ACC 3-2 23 21 6 21 17 3
25 Virginia Tech ACC 3-1 25 -- 29 19 36 50

2016 - Week 4

Expected CFP Rank Team Conference Record AP Coaches FPI Game Control Strength of Record Strength Of Schedule
1 Alabama SEC 4-0 1 1 2 4 1 9
2 Louisville ACC 4-0 3 4 1 1 5 38
3 Clemson ACC 4-0 5 3 5 3 3 28
4 Ohio State Big Ten 3-0 2 2 4 2 6 12
5 Stanford Pac-12 3-0 7 6 13 19 4 10
6 Michigan Big Ten 4-0 4 5 3 11 13 64
7 Texas A&M SEC 4-0 9 10 7 13 2 17
8 Wisconsin Big Ten 4-0 8 8 22 16 8 14
9 Houston American 4-0 6 7 16 18 10 48
10 Florida State ACC 3-1 12 12 5 14 7 5
11 Washington Pac-12 4-0 10 9 10 10 21 87
12 Tennessee SEC 4-0 11 11 9 55 9 18
13 Nebraska Big Ten 4-0 15 15 22 39 14 49
14 Utah Pac-12 4-0 18 18 42 46 12 35
15 Baylor Big 12 4-0 13 13 18 29 15 100
16 Miami (FL) ACC 3-0 14 14 14 9 25 123
17 Mississippi SEC 2-2 16 17 8 8 35 3
18 San Diego State MW 3-0 19 24 52 15 24 70
19 Arkansas SEC 3-1 20 22 36 27 17 13
20 Georgia SEC 3-1 25 20 40 60 11 15
21 Boise State MW 3-0 24 -- 24 6 23 55
22 Florida SEC 3-1 23 21 19 20 44 60
23 West Virginia Big 12 3-0 -- -- 27 21 16 43
24 North Carolina ACC 3-1 -- 23 21 58 29 36
25 Colorado Pac-12 3-1 -- -- 29 5 20 33

2016 - Week 3

Expected CFP Rank Team Conference Record AP Coaches FPI Game Control Strength of Record Strength Of Schedule
1 Ohio State Big Ten 3-0 2 2 3 2 3 11
2 Alabama SEC 3-0 1 1 2 8 1 2
3 Louisville ACC 3-0 3 4 1 1 6 47
4 Clemson ACC 3-0 5 3 5 10 8 54
5 Houston American 3-0 6 7 28 16 5 29
6 Texas A&M SEC 3-0 10 13 7 9 2 34
7 Stanford Pac-12 2-0 7 6 12 6 14 10
8 Michigan State Big Ten 2-0 8 8 38 13 11 22
9 Georgia SEC 3-0 12 11 35 53 4 41
10 Michigan Big Ten 3-0 4 5 4 25 20 89
11 Wisconsin Big Ten 3-0 11 10 27 20 9 25
12 Washington Pac-12 3-0 9 9 9 3 40 106
13 Tennessee SEC 3-0 14 12 8 63 12 33
14 Arkansas SEC 3-0 17 18 29 31 10 21
15 Miami (FL) ACC 3-0 15 19 14 7 27 118
16 Florida State ACC 2-1 13 14 6 37 13 5
17 San Diego State MW 3-0 22 -- 53 12 15 NA
18 Nebraska Big Ten 3-0 20 20 21 49 18 62
19 Utah Pac-12 3-0 24 23 45 28 17 56
20 Baylor Big 12 3-0 16 15 20 45 36 120
21 Boise State MW 2-0 -- -- 24 4 21 52
22 Mississippi SEC 1-2 23 21 13 15 71 4
23 Florida SEC 3-0 19 16 19 32 37 115
24 Louisiana State SEC 2-1 18 17 10 27 34 9
25 UCLA Pac-12 2-1 -- -- 16 14 19 15

2016 - Week 2

Expected CFP Rank Team Conference Record AP Coaches FPI Game Control Strength of Record Strength Of Schedule
1 Alabama SEC 2-0 1 1 2 7 6 4
2 Florida State ACC 2-0 2 2 1 23 5 14
3 Clemson ACC 2-0 5 3 8 11 1 13
4 Houston American 2-0 6 7 30 10 2 36
5 Wisconsin Big Ten 2-0 9 12 20 14 3 17
6 Ohio State Big Ten 2-0 3 4 4 19 27 40
7 Tennessee SEC 2-0 15 15 6 74 11 22
8 Michigan Big Ten 2-0 4 5 3 4 43 108
9 Washington Pac-12 2-0 8 9 10 1 32 79
10 Louisville ACC 2-0 10 10 5 2 22 80
11 Stanford Pac-12 1-0 7 6 23 16 25 28
12 Georgia SEC 2-0 16 13 31 43 8 50
13 Texas Big 12 2-0 11 16 21 27 10 35
14 Texas A&M SEC 2-0 17 20 11 22 9 77
15 Arkansas SEC 2-0 24 24 34 47 7 7
16 Iowa Big Ten 2-0 13 11 23 5 37 88
17 Pittsburgh ACC 2-0 -- -- 33 17 12 66
18 Michigan State Big Ten 1-0 12 8 46 51 67 119
19 Oklahoma Big 12 1-1 14 14 9 56 80 25
20 Boise State MW 2-0 -- -- 27 8 19 47
21 San Diego State MW 2-0 -- -- 55 20 15 NA
22 Mississippi SEC 1-1 19 17 12 9 58 21
23 Notre Dame FBS Indep. 1-1 18 18 16 35 54 29
24 Utah Pac-12 2-0 -- -- 43 37 18 41
25 Florida SEC 2-0 23 23 18 44 33 85

2016 - Week 1

Expected CFP Rank Team Conference Record AP Coaches FPI Game Control Strength of Record Strength Of Schedule
1 Clemson ACC 1-0 2 2 3 10 4 13
2 Florida State ACC 1-0 3 3 1 37 3 6
3 Alabama SEC 1-0 1 1 2 20 8 23
4 Houston American 1-0 6 7 29 17 2 11
5 Georgia SEC 1-0 9 9 12 44 5 26
6 Wisconsin Big Ten 1-0 10 16 27 22 1 10
7 Washington Pac-12 1-0 8 11 13 1 22 55
8 Ohio State Big Ten 1-0 4 4 6 28 34 40
9 Texas Big 12 1-0 11 20 21 45 7 21
10 Stanford Pac-12 1-0 7 5 22 25 18 39
11 Michigan Big Ten 1-0 5 6 4 21 60 91
12 Louisville ACC 1-0 13 15 11 11 58 105
13 Texas A&M SEC 1-0 20 24 14 35 6 32
14 Tennessee SEC 1-0 17 14 7 105 15 44
15 Iowa Big Ten 1-0 16 10 31 13 32 80
16 Brigham Young FBS Indep. 1-0 -- -- 39 31 10 33
17 Texas Christian Big 12 1-0 15 12 25 77 25 60
18 West Virginia Big 12 1-0 -- -- 26 18 16 47
19 Michigan State Big Ten 1-0 12 8 47 63 54 99
20 Oklahoma State Big 12 1-0 22 17 9 3 61 112
21 Mississippi SEC 0-1 19 18 10 6 84 9
22 Oklahoma Big 12 0-1 14 13 8 80 84 8
23 Baylor Big 12 1-0 23 19 18 7 68 110
24 Boise State MW 1-0 -- -- 18 14 26 73
25 Notre Dame FBS Indep. 0-1 18 21 17 53 84 28