2016 - Week 11

Expected CFP Rank Actual CFP Rank Team Conference Record AP Coaches FPI Game Control Strength of Record Strength Of Schedule CFP (Previous Week) Preseason AP Avg FPI Losses Median Conf FPI FPI 1w Δ Program Prestige
1 1 Alabama SEC 10-0 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 -- 11.1 1.3 10.0
2 2 Ohio State Big Ten 9-1 2 2 3 2 3 13 5 6 9.1 6.7 1.8 10.0
3 4 Clemson ACC 9-1 5 5 5 3 2 24 2 2 9.6 8.8 -1.3 7.8
4 5 Louisville ACC 9-1 3 3 4 10 5 40 6 19 23 8.8 0.1 4.9
5 3 Michigan Big Ten 9-1 4 4 2 4 7 21 3 7 8.1 6.7 -1.6 9.9
6 7 Wisconsin Big Ten 8-2 6 6 13 7 4 6 7 -- 26.1 6.7 1.8 6.9
7 6 Washington Pac-12 9-1 7 7 7 5 9 28 4 14 17.1 11.5 -1.7 7.2
8 9 Oklahoma Big 12 8-2 8 8 10 12 13 34 11 3 14.2 9.9 1.1 10.0
9 14 West Virginia Big 12 8-1 10 9 20 16 6 48 16 -- 14.4 9.9 0.3 4.8
10 8 Penn State Big Ten 8-2 9 10 21 44 11 16 10 -- 16.6 6.7 0.1 9.2
11 10 Colorado Pac-12 8-2 12 12 15 9 8 14 12 -- 18.4 11.5 0.6 5.2
12 12 Utah Pac-12 8-2 11 11 29 35 16 23 15 -- 15.5 11.5 1.5 4.9
13 11 Oklahoma State Big 12 8-2 13 13 22 30 25 60 13 21 8.2 9.9 -0.5 5.6
14 17 Florida State ACC 7-3 17 15 9 24 12 8 18 4 20.4 8.8 0.9 8.9
15 18 Nebraska Big Ten 8-2 19 17 40 43 17 31 19 -- 20.1 6.7 0.0 9.5
16 13 Southern California Pac-12 7-3 15 19 11 6 14 1 20 -- 14.8 11.5 1.7 10.0
17 15 Auburn SEC 7-3 18 16 8 13 19 15 9 -- 17 11.1 -1.5 8.0
18 25 Texas A&M SEC 7-3 23 22 12 14 18 19 8 -- 17.1 11.1 -0.7 7.4
19 21 Western Michigan MAC 10-0 14 21 25 19 10 101 21 -- -- -9.0 -0.4 1.0
20 16 Louisiana State SEC 6-3 16 14 6 8 21 4 24 -- 18.5 11.1 1.6 9.3
21 22 Washington State Pac-12 8-2 20 20 14 20 23 29 23 -- 0.8 11.5 1.5 4.6
22 23 Florida SEC 7-2 21 18 24 18 28 62 -- 25 15.3 11.1 -0.3 9.0
23 20 Boise State MW 9-1 22 23 26 11 20 63 22 -- -4.4 -4.8 1.5 5.3
24 NR Virginia Tech ACC 7-3 -- -- 31 28 31 45 14 -- 7.6 8.8 -1.7 6.0
25 NR North Carolina ACC 7-3 -- 24 19 22 27 32 17 22 11 8.8 -1.0 4.2

Results:

CFPMachine AP Poll
MAE 2.48 2.22
RMSE 3.24 3.20
MAE (Top 10) 1.00 1.00
RMSE (Top 10) 1.18 1.18