2016 - Week 12

Expected CFP Rank Actual CFP Rank Team Conference Record AP Coaches FPI Game Control Strength of Record Strength Of Schedule CFP (Previous Week) Preseason AP Avg FPI Losses Median Conf FPI FPI 1w Δ Program Prestige
1 1 Alabama SEC 11-0 1 1 1 1 1 6 1 1 -- 10.8 -1.7 10.0
2 2 Ohio State Big Ten 10-1 2 2 2 3 3 10 2 6 9.1 6.9 -0.6 10.0
3 4 Clemson ACC 10-1 4 3 4 2 2 30 4 2 9.6 8.8 0.0 7.8
4 3 Michigan Big Ten 10-1 3 4 3 4 6 21 3 7 8.1 6.9 -1.1 9.9
5 6 Wisconsin Big Ten 9-2 5 6 13 7 4 11 7 -- 26.1 6.9 0.3 6.9
6 5 Washington Pac-12 10-1 6 5 6 5 7 24 6 14 17.1 10.6 0.5 7.2
7 8 Oklahoma Big 12 9-2 7 7 8 9 9 25 9 3 14.2 9.5 1.8 10.0
8 7 Penn State Big Ten 9-2 8 8 16 41 8 18 8 -- 16.6 6.9 1.3 9.2
9 9 Colorado Pac-12 9-2 9 9 12 8 5 8 10 -- 18.4 10.6 1.0 5.2
10 10 Oklahoma State Big 12 9-2 10 10 16 25 18 58 11 21 8.2 9.5 1.7 5.6
11 12 Southern California Pac-12 8-3 12 12 11 6 10 1 13 -- 14.8 10.6 1.2 10.0
12 11 Louisville ACC 9-2 11 11 5 12 15 51 5 19 16.2 8.8 -2.7 4.9
13 15 Florida SEC 8-2 13 13 22 15 17 53 23 25 15.3 10.8 1.2 9.0
14 14 Florida State ACC 8-3 15 14 9 21 13 17 17 4 20.4 8.8 0.5 8.9
15 16 Nebraska Big Ten 9-2 17 15 37 38 16 31 18 -- 20.1 6.9 0.6 9.5
16 13 Auburn SEC 8-3 16 16 10 13 21 33 15 -- 17 10.8 -0.6 8.0
17 18 West Virginia Big 12 8-2 19 17 26 27 14 36 14 -- 17 9.5 -1.7 4.8
18 19 Boise State MW 10-1 20 19 27 10 19 67 20 -- -4.4 -5.0 0.0 5.3
19 17 Tennessee SEC 8-3 24 24 18 58 24 28 19 9 16.4 10.8 0.4 8.1
20 22 Utah Pac-12 8-3 21 20 33 36 28 19 12 -- 11.7 10.6 -0.7 4.9
21 21 Western Michigan MAC 11-0 14 18 24 19 11 109 21 -- -- -9.4 -0.2 1.0
22 24 Stanford Pac-12 8-3 -- -- 21 23 12 2 24 8 15 10.6 0.8 7.3
23 NR Texas A&M SEC 8-3 22 22 14 14 20 29 25 -- 17.1 10.8 -1.5 7.4
24 20 Houston American 9-2 18 21 29 31 23 73 -- 15 -3.8 3.5 1.7 3.2
25 NR North Carolina ACC 8-3 -- 25 20 18 26 37 -- 22 11 8.8 0.4 4.2

Results:

CFPMachine AP Poll
MAE 1.63 1.63
RMSE 2.31 2.74
MAE (Top 10) 0.60 0.40
RMSE (Top 10) 0.77 0.63