2016 - Week 10

Expected CFP Rank Actual CFP Rank Team Conference Record AP Coaches FPI Game Control Strength of Record Strength Of Schedule
1 1 Alabama SEC 9-0 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 2 Clemson ACC 9-0 3 2 5 3 2 22
3 3 Michigan Big Ten 9-0 2 3 2 4 3 24
4 4 Washington Pac-12 9-0 4 4 6 2 4 29
5 5 Ohio State Big Ten 8-1 6 5 4 5 5 11
6 6 Louisville ACC 8-1 5 6 3 6 7 37
7 7 Wisconsin Big Ten 7-2 7 7 14 7 6 2
8 9 Auburn SEC 7-2 8 8 7 11 9 9
9 8 Texas A&M SEC 7-2 10 11 10 15 8 17
10 11 Oklahoma Big 12 7-2 9 9 11 17 17 32
11 16 West Virginia Big 12 7-1 11 10 21 20 13 53
12 10 Penn State Big Ten 7-2 12 14 20 40 14 16
13 12 Colorado Pac-12 7-2 16 15 13 8 10 12
14 15 Utah Pac-12 7-2 13 12 35 31 18 25
15 17 North Carolina ACC 7-2 15 13 16 19 16 30
16 21 Western Michigan MAC 9-0 14 21 23 12 12 99
17 24 Louisiana State SEC 5-3 19 19 8 10 25 5
18 13 Oklahoma State Big 12 7-2 17 17 19 38 27 63
19 18 Florida State ACC 6-3 20 18 9 25 11 8
20 19 Nebraska Big Ten 7-2 21 20 37 41 21 28
21 14 Virginia Tech ACC 7-2 18 22 25 16 20 44
22 NR Florida SEC 6-2 22 16 23 21 28 57
23 23 Washington State Pac-12 7-2 23 23 14 26 24 27
24 22 Boise State MW 8-1 24 24 30 13 22 58
25 20 Southern California Pac-12 6-3 -- -- 12 9 26 4

Results:

CFPMachine AP Poll
MAE 2.19 2.65
RMSE 3.31 3.45
MAE (Top 10) 0.40 0.90
RMSE (Top 10) 0.77 1.14