2016 - Week 13

Expected CFP Rank Actual CFP Rank Team Conference Record AP Coaches FPI Game Control Strength of Record Strength Of Schedule CFP (Previous Week) Preseason AP Avg FPI Losses Median Conf FPI FPI 1w Δ Program Prestige
1 1 Alabama SEC 12-0 1 1 1 1 1 4 1 1 -- 9.3 0.5 10.0
2 2 Ohio State Big Ten 11-1 2 2 2 5 2 5 2 6 9.1 7.2 0.3 10.0
3 3 Clemson ACC 11-1 3 3 4 2 3 33 4 2 9.6 10.1 1.0 7.8
4 4 Washington Pac-12 11-1 4 4 5 3 5 18 5 14 17.1 9.5 1.8 7.2
5 5 Michigan Big Ten 10-2 5 6 3 4 8 12 3 7 17.9 7.2 0.4 9.9
6 6 Wisconsin Big Ten 10-2 6 5 12 9 4 9 6 -- 26.1 7.2 0.2 6.9
7 9 Oklahoma Big 12 9-2 7 7 8 10 9 28 8 3 14.2 8.6 0.1 10.0
8 7 Penn State Big Ten 10-2 8 8 14 36 7 20 7 -- 16.6 7.2 1.4 9.2
9 8 Colorado Pac-12 10-2 9 9 13 8 6 8 9 -- 18.4 9.5 -0.5 5.2
10 11 Southern California Pac-12 9-3 10 11 10 6 10 1 12 -- 14.8 9.5 0.2 10.0
11 10 Oklahoma State Big 12 9-2 11 10 17 25 15 60 10 21 8.2 8.6 0.0 5.6
12 12 Florida State ACC 9-3 12 12 8 16 12 16 14 4 20.4 10.1 0.5 8.9
13 16 West Virginia Big 12 9-2 14 13 20 24 13 39 18 -- 17 8.6 1.6 4.8
14 13 Louisville ACC 9-3 16 15 6 17 24 51 11 19 11.1 10.1 -1.7 4.9
15 15 Florida SEC 8-3 15 16 23 18 16 36 15 25 16.7 9.3 -1.0 9.0
16 14 Auburn SEC 8-4 18 19 11 11 17 19 13 -- 20.2 9.3 -0.1 8.0
17 18 Stanford Pac-12 9-3 17 17 21 19 14 3 24 8 15 9.5 -0.7 7.3
18 17 Western Michigan MAC 12-0 13 14 23 15 11 100 21 -- -- -9.2 0.5 1.0
19 23 Virginia Tech ACC 9-3 19 18 26 30 20 52 -- -- 7.6 10.1 1.4 6.0
20 NR Nebraska Big Ten 9-3 23 22 40 44 19 32 16 -- 16.9 7.2 -1.6 9.5
21 21 Louisiana State SEC 7-4 21 21 7 7 18 2 -- -- 17.3 9.3 0.7 9.3
22 19 Navy American 9-2 20 20 45 51 25 66 25 -- 5.2 3.2 1.6 4.4
23 22 Tennessee SEC 8-4 -- -- 19 53 31 30 17 9 13.5 9.3 -0.9 8.1
24 NR Boise State MW 10-2 -- -- 30 12 29 68 19 -- -2.6 -4.2 -1.0 5.3
25 25 Pittsburgh ACC 8-4 24 -- 25 14 22 29 -- -- 14.2 10.1 -0.2 6.2

Results:

CFPMachine AP Poll
MAE 1.74 2.11
RMSE 2.92 3.44
MAE (Top 10) 0.50 0.50
RMSE (Top 10) 0.84 0.84